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Housing First • Page 4 Homelessness in Riverside The State of California and many urban centers throughout the nation, especially on the West Coast, have experienced a recent explosion in homelessness. Riverside's homeless population remains much smaller than other California cities, has remained roughly stable, with the same growth pattern as the general population (with some sub -population rises, particularly for seniors) and periodic fluctuations consistent with economic fluctuations. In Riverside we have seen that the unsheltered homeless population grows at an approximate rate of 0.15% relative to the general population with fluctuations consistent with economic activity as depicted in the charts below. 1,200 Z 1,000 0 I, 800 0 w 600 W 400 J 200 0 UNSHELTERED POPULATION IN THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE, 2009-2017 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IN THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE, 2009-2017 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 YEARS 16.0% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 0 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 13.2% 5.7% 0.0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 YEAR Given the growth the general Riverside population has experienced over the past ten years, at a rate of 1.38% per year, staff projects it to reach 385,211 by the year 2029. If the unsheltered homeless population continues to grow at the same pro rata of 0.15% of the general population, then we expect the January 2029 Point in Time count of unsheltered persons to be 578. In other words, by 2029 the Riverside population will have grown by 17.88% while the Riverside unsheltered homeless population will grow by 48.59% absent another severe economic fluctuation. UNSEHLTERD POPULATION 1,200 1,000 800 632 600 632 400 1,063 1,063 571 571 HISTORIC AND FORECASTED UNSHELTERED POPULATION IN THE CITY OF RIVERSIDE, 2009-2033 399 200 258 389 497 504 511 518 525 532 540 547 555 562 570 578 586 594 602 610 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 YEARS